| Estimate | Std. Error | 95% CI lower | 95% CI upper | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSB North Mean Recruitment | 12287.504 | 3143.257 | 7442.494 | 20286.582 |
| BSB North NAA \(\sigma\) (age 1) | 0.978 | 0.138 | 0.742 | 1.290 |
| BSB North NAA \(\sigma\) (age 2) | 0.832 | 0.043 | 0.751 | 0.921 |
| REC CPA fully selected q | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| VAST Spring fully selected q | 0.010 | 0.002 | 0.007 | 0.014 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 1 | 0.017 | 0.012 | 0.004 | 0.064 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 2 | 0.343 | 0.172 | 0.104 | 0.700 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 3 | 0.992 | 0.038 | 0.014 | 1.000 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 4 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 5 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 6 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 7 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 8+ | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 1 | 0.035 | 0.032 | 0.006 | 0.190 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 2 | 0.332 | 0.209 | 0.073 | 0.760 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 3 | 0.591 | 0.231 | 0.182 | 0.903 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 4 | 0.802 | 0.155 | 0.375 | 0.965 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 5 | 0.901 | 0.090 | 0.556 | 0.985 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 6 | 0.958 | 0.044 | 0.731 | 0.995 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 7 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 8+ | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 1 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 2 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 3 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 4 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 5 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 6 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 7 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 8+ | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 1 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 2 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 3 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 4 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 5 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 6 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 7 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 8+ | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 1 | 0.195 | 0.077 | 0.085 | 0.386 |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 2 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 3 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 4 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 5 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 6 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 7 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 8+ | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 6: Mean \(a_{50}\) | 2.736 | 0.760 | 1.481 | 4.346 |
| Block 6: Mean 1/slope (increasing) | 0.896 | 0.356 | 0.398 | 1.862 |
| Block 1: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (age) | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.589 | 0.103 | 0.460 | 0.976 |
| Block 2: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.228 | 0.032 | 0.173 | 0.299 |
| Block 2: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (age) | 0.502 | 0.065 | 0.632 | 0.898 |
| Block 2: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.730 | 0.024 | 0.873 | 0.983 |
| Block 5: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.282 | 0.071 | 0.172 | 0.462 |
| Block 5: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.637 | 0.085 | 0.519 | 0.985 |
| Block 6: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.664 | 0.145 | 0.432 | 1.020 |
| Block 6: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.433 | 0.135 | 0.347 | 0.904 |
| Commercial in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 38.800 | 2.187 | 34.743 | 43.331 |
| Recreational in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 3.017 | 0.360 | 2.388 | 3.811 |
| REC CPA in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 3.209 | 0.357 | 2.581 | 3.990 |
| VAST Spring in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 51.283 | 2.541 | 46.537 | 56.514 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 8421 | 4582 | 2147 | 987 | 453 | 207 | 95 | 80 |
| 1990 | 6127 | 2149 | 1654 | 320 | 185 | 31 | 4 | 29 |
| 1991 | 4094 | 3117 | 469 | 572 | 95 | 22 | 2 | 29 |
| 1992 | 3380 | 3670 | 226 | 76 | 249 | 42 | 12 | 91 |
| 1993 | 1821 | 2049 | 518 | 436 | 42 | 378 | 15 | 22 |
| 1994 | 17354 | 541 | 2054 | 172 | 224 | 22 | 61 | 8 |
| 1995 | 18270 | 1499 | 409 | 83 | 73 | 5 | 10 | 22 |
| 1996 | 19427 | 3165 | 487 | 123 | 29 | 54 | 6 | 9 |
| 1997 | 2933 | 8782 | 630 | 142 | 98 | 14 | 27 | 14 |
| 1998 | 1851 | 3692 | 916 | 563 | 90 | 123 | 8 | 45 |
| 1999 | 35976 | 2685 | 756 | 377 | 148 | 78 | 50 | 29 |
| 2000 | 28510 | 5236 | 794 | 662 | 140 | 164 | 16 | 29 |
| 2001 | 9978 | 4692 | 2890 | 718 | 432 | 153 | 220 | 6 |
| 2002 | 20305 | 8956 | 4262 | 1841 | 211 | 69 | 78 | 29 |
| 2003 | 6420 | 4656 | 2674 | 2002 | 956 | 82 | 33 | 20 |
| 2004 | 2780 | 2838 | 5397 | 708 | 1051 | 272 | 3 | 19 |
| 2005 | 6681 | 3790 | 1186 | 1599 | 697 | 530 | 122 | 39 |
| 2006 | 23123 | 7092 | 1943 | 1593 | 1859 | 265 | 355 | 2 |
| 2007 | 18104 | 8556 | 3740 | 878 | 568 | 599 | 262 | 38 |
| 2008 | 22337 | 10215 | 4017 | 1300 | 352 | 272 | 183 | 121 |
| 2009 | 24338 | 13957 | 6794 | 4305 | 1050 | 74 | 30 | 170 |
| 2010 | 11063 | 10674 | 9991 | 5715 | 3347 | 470 | 23 | 28 |
| 2011 | 21746 | 7277 | 4925 | 3786 | 1459 | 918 | 120 | 19 |
| 2012 | 103209 | 23058 | 11653 | 4969 | 3746 | 1443 | 692 | 147 |
| 2013 | 31291 | 24350 | 4603 | 3903 | 2196 | 1413 | 430 | 261 |
| 2014 | 14810 | 12458 | 29550 | 4585 | 2554 | 1491 | 924 | 489 |
| 2015 | 14618 | 12644 | 10563 | 15598 | 2858 | 1307 | 654 | 630 |
| 2016 | 54487 | 17584 | 5220 | 4885 | 13924 | 1689 | 1075 | 760 |
| 2017 | 20019 | 35249 | 8091 | 3359 | 3184 | 8071 | 606 | 515 |
| 2018 | 6550 | 12236 | 21534 | 4807 | 1802 | 2129 | 6118 | 695 |
| 2019 | 23771 | 6253 | 12468 | 23345 | 4118 | 1634 | 1508 | 5033 |
| 2020 | 28144 | 13932 | 5803 | 11258 | 13414 | 2611 | 1272 | 4186 |
| 2021 | 25279 | 15067 | 14262 | 4423 | 6270 | 10461 | 1639 | 4168 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 0.006 | 0.094 | 0.185 | 0.186 | 0.186 | 0.186 | 0.186 | 0.186 |
| 1990 | 0.012 | 0.203 | 0.445 | 0.447 | 0.447 | 0.447 | 0.447 | 0.447 |
| 1991 | 0.017 | 0.212 | 0.341 | 0.342 | 0.342 | 0.342 | 0.342 | 0.342 |
| 1992 | 0.027 | 0.223 | 0.295 | 0.295 | 0.295 | 0.295 | 0.295 | 0.295 |
| 1993 | 0.021 | 0.147 | 0.184 | 0.184 | 0.184 | 0.184 | 0.184 | 0.184 |
| 1994 | 0.019 | 0.160 | 0.213 | 0.214 | 0.214 | 0.214 | 0.214 | 0.214 |
| 1995 | 0.025 | 0.260 | 0.383 | 0.384 | 0.384 | 0.384 | 0.384 | 0.384 |
| 1996 | 0.018 | 0.296 | 0.606 | 0.608 | 0.608 | 0.608 | 0.608 | 0.608 |
| 1997 | 0.006 | 0.121 | 0.349 | 0.352 | 0.352 | 0.352 | 0.352 | 0.352 |
| 1998 | 0.005 | 0.103 | 0.365 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 0.370 |
| 1999 | 0.006 | 0.147 | 0.641 | 0.651 | 0.651 | 0.651 | 0.651 | 0.651 |
| 2000 | 0.003 | 0.077 | 0.327 | 0.332 | 0.332 | 0.332 | 0.332 | 0.332 |
| 2001 | 0.003 | 0.076 | 0.341 | 0.346 | 0.346 | 0.346 | 0.346 | 0.346 |
| 2002 | 0.002 | 0.059 | 0.274 | 0.278 | 0.278 | 0.278 | 0.278 | 0.278 |
| 2003 | 0.001 | 0.028 | 0.207 | 0.213 | 0.213 | 0.213 | 0.213 | 0.213 |
| 2004 | 0.001 | 0.024 | 0.250 | 0.261 | 0.261 | 0.261 | 0.261 | 0.261 |
| 2005 | 0.001 | 0.015 | 0.230 | 0.246 | 0.246 | 0.246 | 0.246 | 0.246 |
| 2006 | 0.000 | 0.011 | 0.176 | 0.189 | 0.189 | 0.189 | 0.189 | 0.189 |
| 2007 | 0.001 | 0.016 | 0.213 | 0.226 | 0.226 | 0.226 | 0.226 | 0.226 |
| 2008 | 0.001 | 0.016 | 0.134 | 0.139 | 0.139 | 0.139 | 0.139 | 0.139 |
| 2009 | 0.000 | 0.009 | 0.055 | 0.057 | 0.057 | 0.057 | 0.057 | 0.057 |
| 2010 | 0.000 | 0.006 | 0.045 | 0.046 | 0.046 | 0.046 | 0.046 | 0.046 |
| 2011 | 0.001 | 0.014 | 0.081 | 0.083 | 0.083 | 0.083 | 0.083 | 0.083 |
| 2012 | 0.000 | 0.009 | 0.042 | 0.043 | 0.043 | 0.043 | 0.043 | 0.043 |
| 2013 | 0.001 | 0.023 | 0.088 | 0.089 | 0.089 | 0.089 | 0.089 | 0.089 |
| 2014 | 0.001 | 0.017 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 |
| 2015 | 0.001 | 0.018 | 0.068 | 0.068 | 0.068 | 0.068 | 0.068 | 0.068 |
| 2016 | 0.001 | 0.023 | 0.080 | 0.081 | 0.081 | 0.081 | 0.081 | 0.081 |
| 2017 | 0.002 | 0.053 | 0.168 | 0.170 | 0.170 | 0.170 | 0.170 | 0.170 |
| 2018 | 0.002 | 0.040 | 0.115 | 0.116 | 0.116 | 0.116 | 0.116 | 0.116 |
| 2019 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.099 | 0.099 | 0.099 | 0.099 | 0.099 | 0.099 |
| 2020 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.090 |
| 2021 | 0.002 | 0.038 | 0.093 | 0.094 | 0.094 | 0.094 | 0.094 | 0.094 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 0.006 | 0.094 | 0.185 | 0.186 | 0.186 | 0.186 | 0.186 | 0.186 |
| 1990 | 0.012 | 0.203 | 0.445 | 0.447 | 0.447 | 0.447 | 0.447 | 0.447 |
| 1991 | 0.017 | 0.212 | 0.341 | 0.342 | 0.342 | 0.342 | 0.342 | 0.342 |
| 1992 | 0.027 | 0.223 | 0.295 | 0.295 | 0.295 | 0.295 | 0.295 | 0.295 |
| 1993 | 0.021 | 0.147 | 0.184 | 0.184 | 0.184 | 0.184 | 0.184 | 0.184 |
| 1994 | 0.019 | 0.160 | 0.213 | 0.214 | 0.214 | 0.214 | 0.214 | 0.214 |
| 1995 | 0.025 | 0.260 | 0.383 | 0.384 | 0.384 | 0.384 | 0.384 | 0.384 |
| 1996 | 0.018 | 0.296 | 0.606 | 0.608 | 0.608 | 0.608 | 0.608 | 0.608 |
| 1997 | 0.006 | 0.121 | 0.349 | 0.352 | 0.352 | 0.352 | 0.352 | 0.352 |
| 1998 | 0.005 | 0.103 | 0.365 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 0.370 |
| 1999 | 0.006 | 0.147 | 0.641 | 0.651 | 0.651 | 0.651 | 0.651 | 0.651 |
| 2000 | 0.003 | 0.077 | 0.327 | 0.332 | 0.332 | 0.332 | 0.332 | 0.332 |
| 2001 | 0.003 | 0.076 | 0.341 | 0.346 | 0.346 | 0.346 | 0.346 | 0.346 |
| 2002 | 0.002 | 0.059 | 0.274 | 0.278 | 0.278 | 0.278 | 0.278 | 0.278 |
| 2003 | 0.001 | 0.028 | 0.207 | 0.213 | 0.213 | 0.213 | 0.213 | 0.213 |
| 2004 | 0.001 | 0.024 | 0.250 | 0.261 | 0.261 | 0.261 | 0.261 | 0.261 |
| 2005 | 0.001 | 0.015 | 0.230 | 0.246 | 0.246 | 0.246 | 0.246 | 0.246 |
| 2006 | 0.000 | 0.011 | 0.176 | 0.189 | 0.189 | 0.189 | 0.189 | 0.189 |
| 2007 | 0.001 | 0.016 | 0.213 | 0.226 | 0.226 | 0.226 | 0.226 | 0.226 |
| 2008 | 0.001 | 0.016 | 0.134 | 0.139 | 0.139 | 0.139 | 0.139 | 0.139 |
| 2009 | 0.000 | 0.009 | 0.055 | 0.057 | 0.057 | 0.057 | 0.057 | 0.057 |
| 2010 | 0.000 | 0.006 | 0.045 | 0.046 | 0.046 | 0.046 | 0.046 | 0.046 |
| 2011 | 0.001 | 0.014 | 0.081 | 0.083 | 0.083 | 0.083 | 0.083 | 0.083 |
| 2012 | 0.000 | 0.009 | 0.042 | 0.043 | 0.043 | 0.043 | 0.043 | 0.043 |
| 2013 | 0.001 | 0.023 | 0.088 | 0.089 | 0.089 | 0.089 | 0.089 | 0.089 |
| 2014 | 0.001 | 0.017 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 |
| 2015 | 0.001 | 0.018 | 0.068 | 0.068 | 0.068 | 0.068 | 0.068 | 0.068 |
| 2016 | 0.001 | 0.023 | 0.080 | 0.081 | 0.081 | 0.081 | 0.081 | 0.081 |
| 2017 | 0.002 | 0.053 | 0.168 | 0.170 | 0.170 | 0.170 | 0.170 | 0.170 |
| 2018 | 0.002 | 0.040 | 0.115 | 0.116 | 0.116 | 0.116 | 0.116 | 0.116 |
| 2019 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.099 | 0.099 | 0.099 | 0.099 | 0.099 | 0.099 |
| 2020 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.090 |
| 2021 | 0.002 | 0.038 | 0.093 | 0.094 | 0.094 | 0.094 | 0.094 | 0.094 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 0.006 | 0.166 | 0.261 | 0.283 | 0.287 | 0.289 | 0.292 | 0.292 |
| 1990 | 0.011 | 0.164 | 0.221 | 0.234 | 0.237 | 0.238 | 0.240 | 0.240 |
| 1991 | 0.009 | 0.126 | 0.195 | 0.215 | 0.218 | 0.220 | 0.222 | 0.222 |
| 1992 | 0.005 | 0.054 | 0.081 | 0.089 | 0.090 | 0.091 | 0.092 | 0.092 |
| 1993 | 0.012 | 0.108 | 0.148 | 0.161 | 0.163 | 0.164 | 0.166 | 0.166 |
| 1994 | 0.019 | 0.122 | 0.157 | 0.170 | 0.172 | 0.173 | 0.175 | 0.175 |
| 1995 | 0.013 | 0.085 | 0.128 | 0.142 | 0.144 | 0.146 | 0.148 | 0.148 |
| 1996 | 0.011 | 0.064 | 0.115 | 0.132 | 0.135 | 0.137 | 0.139 | 0.139 |
| 1997 | 0.010 | 0.070 | 0.147 | 0.175 | 0.180 | 0.183 | 0.186 | 0.186 |
| 1998 | 0.006 | 0.032 | 0.077 | 0.097 | 0.101 | 0.103 | 0.105 | 0.105 |
| 1999 | 0.017 | 0.090 | 0.165 | 0.198 | 0.203 | 0.207 | 0.210 | 0.210 |
| 2000 | 0.023 | 0.126 | 0.216 | 0.264 | 0.272 | 0.278 | 0.282 | 0.282 |
| 2001 | 0.018 | 0.089 | 0.198 | 0.284 | 0.302 | 0.312 | 0.318 | 0.318 |
| 2002 | 0.018 | 0.078 | 0.184 | 0.315 | 0.348 | 0.365 | 0.376 | 0.376 |
| 2003 | 0.015 | 0.065 | 0.150 | 0.287 | 0.334 | 0.359 | 0.373 | 0.373 |
| 2004 | 0.010 | 0.045 | 0.089 | 0.164 | 0.191 | 0.205 | 0.213 | 0.213 |
| 2005 | 0.014 | 0.064 | 0.129 | 0.228 | 0.272 | 0.294 | 0.307 | 0.307 |
| 2006 | 0.011 | 0.049 | 0.099 | 0.171 | 0.200 | 0.213 | 0.221 | 0.221 |
| 2007 | 0.016 | 0.071 | 0.151 | 0.238 | 0.267 | 0.280 | 0.288 | 0.288 |
| 2008 | 0.014 | 0.064 | 0.154 | 0.266 | 0.307 | 0.323 | 0.332 | 0.332 |
| 2009 | 0.015 | 0.069 | 0.163 | 0.258 | 0.292 | 0.304 | 0.312 | 0.312 |
| 2010 | 0.013 | 0.070 | 0.158 | 0.252 | 0.291 | 0.305 | 0.313 | 0.313 |
| 2011 | 0.009 | 0.049 | 0.101 | 0.178 | 0.218 | 0.232 | 0.239 | 0.239 |
| 2012 | 0.011 | 0.060 | 0.106 | 0.197 | 0.248 | 0.264 | 0.273 | 0.273 |
| 2013 | 0.012 | 0.067 | 0.118 | 0.242 | 0.326 | 0.355 | 0.371 | 0.371 |
| 2014 | 0.010 | 0.056 | 0.097 | 0.212 | 0.293 | 0.320 | 0.337 | 0.337 |
| 2015 | 0.013 | 0.073 | 0.112 | 0.238 | 0.345 | 0.383 | 0.406 | 0.406 |
| 2016 | 0.016 | 0.092 | 0.117 | 0.223 | 0.343 | 0.391 | 0.420 | 0.420 |
| 2017 | 0.015 | 0.089 | 0.102 | 0.184 | 0.359 | 0.468 | 0.539 | 0.539 |
| 2018 | 0.009 | 0.053 | 0.059 | 0.095 | 0.186 | 0.270 | 0.335 | 0.335 |
| 2019 | 0.012 | 0.068 | 0.071 | 0.093 | 0.176 | 0.300 | 0.430 | 0.430 |
| 2020 | 0.012 | 0.070 | 0.071 | 0.081 | 0.137 | 0.253 | 0.422 | 0.422 |
| 2021 | 0.012 | 0.071 | 0.074 | 0.085 | 0.136 | 0.239 | 0.377 | 0.377 |